How much weight do you give to circumstantial evidence?

+9 votes
296 views
How much weight would you give to circumstantial evidence that could connect two people in a family line?

I am working on a tree in which a young woman of 15 in 1950 with the name Nola Benish (deceased) met a man named David Harris (? living ?) and had a child (deceased).  The only suggestion that they married is that she registered a new social security surname 5 months prior to the child's birth, and she stated on her apparent second marriage that her first was annulled. They lived in a large city.  While I can find enough documents for the woman's ancestry, the man's name is very common and his name only appears on one document when his son dies.  Looking at the 1950 census and the street addresses, I was able to determine that a young man of 17 in 1950 named David Harris lived within a mile of Nola.  I suspect he is the father, and he is deceased and his ancestral line can be tracked, but is that enough to conclude he is the father?  For now I have created two wikitree IDs: Harris-60622 and Harris-60724 and I made a note that I thought they might be one person.  Question:  Is there enough to link them?
WikiTree profile: Nola Howard
in Genealogy Help by Catlin Black G2G Crew (620 points)
edited by Catlin Black
In a case like this only DNA can truly determine the truth.

3 Answers

+7 votes
 
Best answer
I like the two profiles option with a Research Note explaining the possibility. Too tenuous just with census records in the general area, especially because census records aren't exactly known for their infallibility.

Find a few more sources/connections enough to say it's the same or different families, then take action.
by Jonathan Crawford G2G6 Pilot (282k points)
selected by Catlin Black
Agreed. This is how I have been handling similar cases. If enough evidence is eventually collected then I merge them.
When I do that, I include the ID of the other individual with each person of the same name and similar birth year.

I have several individuals in my trees with exactly the same name but different fathers and/or mother. It's even more confusing when they are in the same generation and second cousins, etc.
Thanks to all above
+2 votes
You could, IMO, link them with a note giving details and that there is no proof ,.at this time, he is the Father. .It can be changed when documents are found.
by Sandra Vines G2G6 Pilot (137k points)
+3 votes
I would NOT connect profiles if the evidence is not there to prove they are truly related.

By doing so, it skews all the other features of the site:  CC7 and Connection Finder stats/connections come to mind.
by Tommy Buch G2G Astronaut (1.9m points)
Isn't going to hurt  connection finder, as there are UNCERTIANs  on connection finder, awaiting more documentation.  Some one just may know this Nola J when she married a Harris.  She would have been just 16 or 17 and then they had it  annulled.  She married a 2nd time to Woods and used her name as Nola J Harris.

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